After going into the weekend with lows near 18.41000, the USD/MXN produced higher values yesterday bringing the currency pair back to levels seen since mid-April.
Yesterday’s buying of the USD/MXN correlated with the broad Forex market as the USD garnered strength. Lows seen last Friday near the 18.41000 level which tested values seen in the middle of October 2024 faded as bullish momentum took hold. However, volatility is still part of the USD/MXN and traders certainly know this after the past six months of Forex results.
The USD/MXN is very much with the lower boundaries of its one, three and six month results. The ability of the USD/MXN to be trading near the 18.60800 vicinity this morning feels like an accomplishment for the Mexican Peso after the rather loud rhetoric the currency has had to endure via the tariff storms which have brewed between the U.S and Mexico.
Volatility Still Abundant and Risk Appetite Questions
The broad financial markets remain in a state of flux and the USD/MXN has been responding to conditions caused by shifting behavioral sentiment. Financial institutions are learning to brace themselves against loud tantrums from the U.S White House and may be more comfortable. The USD/MXN remains with the lower elements of its mid-term range. Over eager speculators may be looking at one year charts and considering the potential of more lower momentum developing in the USD/MXN.
However, before traders try to jump on the lower trend they should take heed from short-term volatility such as yesterday’s. The USD remains within the lower depths of its value and the U.S White House will not be displeased with a weaker USD. Yet, yesterday’s buying of the USD/MXN correlated to risk appetite increasing globally on positive tariff news and rising stock markets. Equilibrium in the USD/MXN still faces a test because of conflicting outlooks, but some bigger players may believe resistance levels now hold the key for selling the USD/MXN.
USD/MXN Complex Outlooks and Speculation
The notion that calm is going to build within the financial markets may be tempting, but short-term traders will have to deal with volatility caused by bursts of optimism and on the other hand – the occasional punishing worse outlook. The USD/MXN since the end of the third week in April has shown an ability to test higher resistance levels and then selloff.
- Traders should not get too confident, but looking for lower momentum when highs are being tested could remain a motivation to attempt selling of the USD/MXN.
- The 19.70000 may be a key psychological level at this time and traders who believe value above this mark is overbought may be proven correct over the mid-term.
- Yet, there are still possible storms swirling from surprise rhetoric from the U.S White House.
- Traders should not get over confident, but market conditions may create additional USD/MXN downside and the ability to traverse lower.
- Values around the 19.60000 may be seen as being in overbought territory by some near-term traders and an opportunity to sell if higher values continue to be tested.
USD/MXN Short Term Outlook:
Current Resistance: 19.62500
Current Support: 19.60900
High Target: 19.68800
Low Target: 19.51500
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