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Failed 21,461 break spurs retest of VWAP and 21,315 ahead of London open

Failed 21,461 break spurs retest of VWAP and 21,315 ahead of London open

Nasdaq futures Tuesday recap

H4 time frame highlights

  • Resistance rejection: Multiple tests of 21,461 (23.6% Fib & VAH) failed to clear, capping upside.

  • Support hold & bounce: 21,311 (61.8% Fib & POC) held intraday, underpinned a temporary recovery.

  • Range defined: Confined to 21,311–21,461, setting clear boundaries for Wednesday.

Chart

Five-minute time frame highlights

  • Mid-session chop: Price oscillated around 21,405 (VWAP mid-line, red), flipping it three times before succumbing.

  • Late-session break: A slide below 21,360 (50% Fib) drove NQ down to 21,315 (61.8% Fib & VWAP lower band) into the close.

  • Key levels tested:

    • Failed break: 21,461 → Ceiling through London into NY open.

    • Flipped VWAP: 21,405 → Support turned resistance.

    • Final hold: 21,315 → Demand base into late NY session.

Chart

Wednesday playbook

London Session (GMT).

ScenarioTriggerTargetsStops/Invalidates.

Bullish Hold & bounce 21,315 on 5-min reversal 21,360 → 21,405 → 21,461 Clean 5-min close below 21,300.

Bearish Failure/rejection at 21,360 or VWAP 21,251 → 21,169 → 21,065 Close above 21,380.

  • Key anchors:

    • Resistance: 21,360 (50% Fib), 21,405 (VWAP mid), 21,461 (23.6% Fib/VAH).

    • Support: 21,315 (61.8% Fib/VWAP lower), 21,251 (78.6% Fib), 21,169 (VWAP H4).

US Session (NY).

ScenarioTriggerTargetsStops/Invalidates.

Bullish Reclaim 21,360–21,405 21,461 → 21,557 (H4 VAH) → 21,616 5-min close below 21,300.

Bearish Break & hold below 21,315 21,169 → 20,932 → 20,751 → 20,502 5-min close above 21,380.

  • Medium-term cues:

    • A sustained H4 break above 21,557 shifts bias bullish toward 21,806+.

    • A 4-hour close below 21,405 turns bias bearish toward 21,014–20,905.

Execution notes

  • Volume confirmation: Seek spikes at VWAP pivots and Fib levels.

  • Position sizing: Risk ≤1% per trade.

  • Alerts: 21,315/21,360/21,405/21,461/21,557.

Leverage these clear H4 & 5-min pivots to maximise your entry precision and align with institutional flow.

Remain patient—let price confirm key pivots before pulling the trigger. Always manage risk with a defined stop-loss and position sizing. This is not financial advice. Good luck!

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