- For three consecutive trading sessions, gold prices are exposed to profit-taking sales after testing the highest in the history of the gold market.
- Meanwhile, the gold price index jumped to the resistance level of $ 2957 per ounce. Profit-taking sales resulted in the price of gold today settling around $ 2885 per ounce at the time of writing the analysis.
- Furthermore, the US dollar recovered and the global slowdown in gold increased losses recently.
Will the price of gold rise in the coming days?
Gold prices fell as investors took profits and signs of slowing demand appeared. China’s total gold imports via Hong Kong fell by 44.8% in January compared to December, recording its lowest level since April 2022. However, the price of gold remained close to its highest level ever. This is as concerns about President Trump’s tariff policies, foreign relations and weak economic data fuelled demand for safe havens and reinforced the view that the Federal Reserve may need to accelerate the reduction of US interest rates.
Regarding US tariffs, Trump signed an executive order to evaluate potential tariffs on copper, following his decision to impose duties on Canadian and Mexican imports. Also, the gold market continued to receive support from bullion-backed ETFs, with net inflows hitting their highest level since 2022 last week. Overall, gold maintains critical near-term support at $2,900 per ounce, with some analysts expecting the yellow metal to attract safe-haven demand as new US home sales fall sharply in January 2025.
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Trading Tips:
Despite the decline in gold prices, it remains well supported, with consumers increasingly concerned about the health of the US economy and rising inflation pressures, so take advantage of the decline to move into gold purchase deals again, but without risk
US Dollar Index Stability Before Important Releases
According to Forex market trading, the US Dollar Index DXY, which measures the performance of the US currency against a basket of other major currencies, remained stable around 106.60 as traders assessed the economic and monetary outlook, along with developments in the trade war and the geopolitical landscape. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent warned this week that the US economy is more fragile than key metrics suggest, pointing to volatile interest rates, persistent inflation and government-led job growth.
Also, he stressed the importance of tariffs as a source of revenue. On the economic data front, US consumer confidence at the Federal Reserve fell to an eight-month low in February and new US home sales fell much more than expected last month.
Now, investors are awaiting the second estimate of GDP growth and the personal consumption expenditures report later this week for more insights into the US economy. Financial markets are currently pricing in around 55 basis points of US interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year.
Gold Price Technical Analysis and Expectations Today:
According to the daily chart trading, gold prices are in a phase of breaking the upward trend. According to gold analysts’ predictions today, the closest support levels for gold prices are currently $2864 and $2848 per ounce, respectively, and we see them as the most suitable for buying at present, but without risk. Keep in mind that the recent movements of profit-taking selloffs are normal after successive record gains in gold prices. I have frequently warned of their occurrence at any time. After the selloffs, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and MACD indicator turned downward, but they have ample room before reaching oversold levels.
Conversely, and over the same time frame, the return of gold prices above the psychological resistance of $2900 is important for the bulls to move technically upward again.
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