From Nvidia to Meta, five of the largest U.S. tech stocks are breaking down simultaneously under the weight of collapsing price structures and escalating macroeconomic risk.
Nvidia (NVDA): Technical breakdown meets fundamental crisis
Nvidia’s share price has collapsed dramatically, dropping 38% from its January 2025 highs of $153. The symmetrical price structure in the weekly chart, highlighted in the March analysis, broke decisively after the failure to reclaim the 130–124 central zone—the final stronghold for bulls. This triggered a cascade through key support levels, with 106 and 95 taken out rapidly.
Currently, the downside targets are 82 and 78, with further breakdowns potentially reaching as low as 67, 61, and 52. Rebounds, if any, will face stiff resistance at 97 and 103, where former supports now act as overhead pressure zones. The price action aligns perfectly with broader sector weakness and fundamental shocks triggered by tariffs.
Fundamentally, Nvidia faces intensified pressure due to increased production costs, severe semiconductor supply chain disruptions, and potential market restrictions in China. The escalating geopolitical tensions, combined with increased regulatory scrutiny and currency volatility, threaten to destabilise Nvidia’s profitability and growth trajectory significantly—aligning ominously with current technical indicators.
Nvidia (NVDA) March 2025 analysis
Nvidia (NVDA) April 4th 2025 analysis
Apple (AAPL): Bullish structure collapses under tariff pressure
Apple’s long-standing bullish structure spanning from January 2023 to March 2025 has finally given way under immense selling pressure following Trump’s tariff policy. This technical collapse mirrors the breakdown observed in the Nasdaq 100, which peaked near 22,010, while Apple peaked at $260.
Apple has since declined over 27%, with key support levels at 207 and 200 breached. The path now opens to targets at 186 and 178, aligning with channel support in the broader downtrend. A rebound attempt may be staged at 178, but resistance at 192 and 200 will cap the upside unless broader macro risk subsides.
Fundamental vulnerabilities loom large, with tariffs dramatically increasing Apple’s production and component costs, amplifying supply chain vulnerabilities. The critical Chinese market faces severe retaliation risks, further pressuring Apple’s revenue and consumer sentiment. Elevated foreign exchange volatility and broader economic headwinds compound these issues, placing sustained downward pressure on Apple’s valuation.
Apple (AAPL) March 2025 analysis
Apple (AAPL) April 4 2025 analysis
Alphabet (GOOGL): Technical collapse mirrors fundamental vulnerabilities
Alphabet followed a textbook two-year bullish price structure that climaxed in February 2025 with a failed breakout at $207. The failure to hold above 204 and the decisive break below 174 marked the beginning of a full-blown bearish cycle. GOOGL has since lost 30% in value, now hovering above key psychological support at 144.
If 144 fails, the next legs down include 137, 126, and 120—each mapped to fib retracements and historic support zones. Rebound potential exists but will run into overhead resistance at 147, 150, and 153, making any sustained recovery difficult without a macro shift.
Fundamentally, Alphabet faces escalating hardware costs, severe supply chain disruptions, and potential retaliatory measures from China that could affect Android ecosystem dominance. Additional risks include declining advertising revenues amid an economic slowdown and increased regulatory scrutiny, further intensifying downside pressure and validating current bearish technical signals.
Alphabet (GOOGL) March 2025 analysis
Alphabet (GOOGL) April 4 2025 analysis
Microsoft (MSFT): Key technical levels breached amid tariff turmoil
Microsoft’s price structure mimics the major indices’ trajectory—its two-year bull channel broke violently after the price collapsed below the critical 418 level in January 2025. Since then, multiple support levels at 404, 395, 380, and 371 have been violated, with the share price closing at 359.84.
If the 357 support gives way, expect further downside pressure toward 348, 333, and ultimately 310—Microsoft’s last major technical base. Short-term rebounds would likely meet resistance at 371, 380, and 395, where supply clusters remain.
Fundamentally, Microsoft confronts increased costs from hardware and data centre infrastructure due to Trump’s tariffs. Retaliation from China endangers key market positions and strategic partnerships. Elevated currency volatility and broader macroeconomic headwinds could further strain profitability and enterprise IT spending, confirming current technical bearish indicators and increasing investor volatility.
Microsoft (MSFT) March analysis 2025
Microsoft (MSFT) April 4 2025 analysis
Meta (META): Extraordinary gains unravel as tariffs amplify sell-off
Meta posted an unprecedented 741% rally from $88 to $740 within two years, culminating in early 2025. The exhaustion pattern at 740—coupled with the breakdown of the 694 and 630 support levels—signalled the end of the bull run. The last stand at 564 failed in March, unleashing a steep 15% drop over three trading sessions.
Currently sitting near $504, Meta is testing the crucial 500 psychological barrier. A clean break could open the way to 460, 434, 410, and even 394. Any bounce will face resistance at 524 and 564—key levels where bulls previously failed to hold momentum.
Fundamentally, Meta faces significant advertising revenue pressures due to economic uncertainty and declining consumer engagement triggered by tariff-induced stress. Rising production costs for Reality Labs hardware, intense regulatory scrutiny, foreign exchange headwinds, and broader recessionary risks compound Meta’s vulnerabilities, validating bearish technical forecasts and placing severe pressure on investor sentiment.
Meta (META) April 4 2025 analysis
Fundamental deep dive: The economic earthquake beneath the magnificent 7.
1. Tariff shock
2. Supply chain disruption
3. China retaliation
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China may restrict access to key markets, IP, or partnerships.
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Apple, Alphabet, Meta, and Nvidia are exposed to sudden regulatory blowbacks.
4. FX drag
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Stronger USD cuts into repatriated revenue, pressuring earnings in Q2/Q3 2025.
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Meta, Apple, and MSFT are especially exposed.
5. Demand destruction
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Lower global ad spend, slower consumer electronics upgrades, and frozen IT budgets.
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Meta and Alphabet’s core revenue streams are at risk.
6. Valuation compression
7. Regulatory and ESG pressure
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Protectionism triggers global regulatory backlash.
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Data privacy, localisation, antitrust, and ESG scrutiny intensify.
Conclusion: Navigating the magnificent 7’s perfect storm
The Magnificent 7 are not just experiencing a pullback—they’re undergoing a price cycle reset catalysed by fundamental macroeconomic rupture. The combination of technical breakdowns and deep structural headwinds—from supply chains and currency volatility to regulation and geopolitics—places these megacaps in a dangerous zone.
Each of these names now trades below key support levels, with downside continuation the most likely path unless a policy reversal or macro shift materialises. Until then, resistance levels will likely be sold, not bought.
Price structure is king in this environment—but macro matters more than ever. Combining both is no longer optional—it’s essential.