- Gold eked out a new all-time high at $3,057 this Thursday before correcting.
- Traders ran into Gold again after Powell said tariffs should only delay the inflation target.
- Gold to remain supported by geopolitical uncertainty as tensions remain in Gaza and Turkey.
Gold’s price (XAU/USD) was able to still produce a new all-time high at $3,057 before dipping near 0.50% lower to around $3,034 at the time of writing on Thursday. Despite some selling pressure from profit-taking, the earlier uptick came on the back of the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision overnight, where the central bank kept rates unchanged in the range of 4.25%-4.50%. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell reiterated that tariffs should only be a delay in the timing to reach the inflation target.
Meanwhile, on the geopolitical front, tensions are brewing in Gaza and Turkey. Israeli strikes continue across Gaza while calling on the population to relocate as ground offensive operations could be launched soon. Mass protests burst out in Turkey after Istanbul mayor Ekrem Imamoglu’s detention, President Tayyip Erdogan’s main political rival.
Daily digest market movers: China being warned on Gold
- During the Federal Reserve meeting, Chairman Powell said his base case is that any tariff-driven bump in inflation will be “transitory,” but later added that it will be very challenging to say with confidence how much inflation stems from tariffs versus other factors. He also said recession odds have moved up, though are not high, Bloomberg reports.
- Swiss Gold exports to the US remained elevated in February at 147.4 tons, worth more than $14 billion, Reuters reports.
- Chinese media are advising investors to be cautious on Gold as prices are likely to be volatile going forward, according to a report published in the China Securities Journal on Thursday. The precious metal’s prices are elevated because of geopolitical uncertainties and a fast-changing global economic environment; investors should diversify assets, balance risks and avoid blindly chasing prices higher, Bloomberg reports.
Technical Analysis: Stay calm and keep buying
Gold looks to be trading in a very easy narrative for now, where traders are more than happy to buy every brief dip. A similar pattern was already seen on Monday and Wednesday this week. However, the risk grows for a squeeze soon, which should wash out short-term positioning.
Regarding technical levels, the new all-time high at $3,057 is the first level to beat. The next target for this Thursday is the R1 resistance at $3,058, just below the $3,060 round number. If the last one is broken, then R2 resistance comes in at $3,069.
On the downside, the intraday Pivot Point at $3,040 is the first line of defense, followed by the S1 support near $3,030 ahead of the $3,000 level.
XAU/USD: Daily Chart