The NZD/USD has seen an incremental rise in value occur the past handful of days, this after testing near-term lows last week. The NZD/USD is around the 0.60255 mark as of this writing.
After challenging lower depths last week which led to an eventual test near the 0.59080 vicinity early last Thursday, the NZD/USD has shown a strong buying reaction. Momentum higher this morning has taken the NZD/USD to higher marks and as of this writing the currency pair is near 0.60255 and showing upside price action.
The NZD/USD has certainly correlated to the broad Forex market as it has begun to retest higher values seen in the second week of July. The announcement of a trade agreement between Japan and the U.S has also likely fueled some buying optimism globally and the NZD/USD is benefiting from this impetus. The ability of the NZD/USD to begin approaching the 0.60300 vicinity today is important and shows behavioral sentiment may again be shifting positively, including price velocity.
Cycles of Volatility and Over-reactions
Forex has been rather consolidated in many respects as cautious trading has led to tight cyclical reversals. The NZD/USD saw a high of nearly 0.61200 on the 1st of July and then a low last Thursday around 0.59080 as stated above. However, what day traders should keep in mind is that the lows seen last week didn’t break through important psychological support barriers. In fact the NZD/USD and plenty of other major currencies maintained the higher elements of their mid-term price realms even as nervousness crept into the markets.
Risk events continue to loom over financial markets, but the announcement of a major trade deal between Japan and the U.S this morning will fuel risk appetite. This may make looking for additional upside in the NZD/USD attractive for speculators. If the 0.60300 is toppled today and sustained it will signal additional buying sentiment is lingering. Yet, traders should not get too far ahead of the technical trends, because the U.S Federal Reserve on the 30th of July and more tariff news from the White House will affect Forex.
Near-Term Influences and the NZD/USD
Tomorrow the U.S Manufacturing PMI reports will be published. Better than expected U.S economic numbers have been seen the past couple of weeks. U.S equity indices are flirting with record highs. The NZD/USD may be a in a position which can find more upside to explore.
- Traders should stay realistic with their targets and guard against downturns which will definitely be seen when prices are deemed to have moved to high technically.
- Looking for prices above the 0.60300 level is legitimate, but speculators must remember the NZD/USD moves fast and take profit orders are essential.
- If the U.S posts solid manufacturing readings tomorrow and the global financial markets show risk appetite, a move upwards that flirts with 0.60400 to 0.60500 would not be the most surprising thing to happen before the weekend.
- On the other hand, as always traders need stop losses to protect against market direction that is not expected and is volatile.
NZD/USD Short Term Outlook:
Current Resistance: 0.60285
Current Support: 0.60230
High Target: 0.60395
Low Target: 0.60170
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