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OECD cuts US and global GDP as Trump trade war hits growth outlook

OECD cuts US and global GDP as Trump trade war hits growth outlook

The Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) revised global growth down to 2.9% for 2025-2026, anticipating the fallout from the Trump administration’s trade war.

Key takeaways

OECD cuts US 2025 GDP growth forecast to 1.6% (previous 2.2%), trims 2026 to 1.5% (previous 1.6%).

OECD cuts global 2025 GDP growth forecast to 2.9% (previous 3.1%), trims 2026 to 2.9% (previous 3.0%).

OECD maintains Euro area 2025 GDP growth forecast at 1.0%, holds 2026 at 1.2%.

OECD trims China 2025 GDP growth forecast to 4.7% (previous 4.8%), lowers 2026 to 4.3%. (previous 4.4%)

OECD trims UK 2025 GDP growth forecast to 1.3% (previous 1.4%), cuts 2026 to 1.0% (previous 1.2%).

OECD cuts Japan 2025 GDP growth forecast to 0.7% (previous 1.1%), raises 2026 to 0.4% (previous 0.2%).

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